Match Info

Date: 12 August 2022, Friday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.55	Watch
	6	3.7	1.55
	6.4	3.55	1.55
	6	3.8	1.53
	7.16	3.65	1.57
	6	3.6	1.52
	6.15	3.82	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↓ (6.9)	3.76 ↓ (4.6)	1.55 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
14.9%

Draw
24.8%

Chengdu Rongcheng
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20.8%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

20.8%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chengdu Rongcheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	5%	45%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 10).

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Guangzhou Evergrande is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
07.08.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:0 ✺
11.07.22	Hebei CFFC - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
08.07.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
04.07.22	Wuhan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
30.06.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
05.08.22	Hebei CFFC - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
11.07.22	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
08.07.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 ✺
04.07.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
30.06.22	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWTT

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