Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Avaí

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.08	3.2	3.15
	2.36	3	3
	2.43	3.21	3.21
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.31	3.16	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.98)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	3.16 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
41.2%

Draw
29.4%

Avaí
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avaí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).

Guaraní is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Avaí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guaraní will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
22.10.20	Vitória Salvador - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Bolívar - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
13.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWLWW
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
20.10.20	Juventude - Avaí	3:0 ✺
13.10.20	Avaí - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
10.10.20	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	1:2 ✺
06.10.20	Avaí - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
02.10.20	CRB Maceio - Avaí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.10.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí	1:2
19.06.18	Avaí - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3
09.11.12	Avaí - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
14.08.12	Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí	N/A

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