Match Info

Date: 13 October 2020, Tuesday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.87	2.3	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	3	2.95	2.28
	3.3	2.85	2.3
	3.61	3.02	2.35
	3.5	2.8	2.3
	3.5	2.94	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)	2.92 ↓ (3.08)	2.3 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
27.8%

Draw
31.8%

Cuiabá
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

21.9%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	33.3%	42.9%

Guaraní Asuncion - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 10 - 23.8%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 18 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 27.9% – 57.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Guaraní is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cuiabá is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cuiabá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cuiabá will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Brazilian Serie B
10.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
06.10.20	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.20	América Mineiro - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.10.20	Tigre - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTTW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
09.10.20	Cuiabá - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
06.10.20	Juventude - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Cuiabá - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
29.09.20	Cuiabá - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
22.09.20	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.10.19	Cuiabá - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
23.07.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Cuiabá	0:1

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