Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3	3.8
	1.96	3	3.8
	1.97	3	4
	2.04	3.18	4.34
	1.95	3	4.2
	2.03	3.14	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.91)	3.09 ↑ (3.06)	4 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
46.7%

Draw
30%

Operário Ferroviario
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

30.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.6%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.6%	39.3%	7.1%

Guaraní Asuncion - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Operário Ferroviario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.12.20	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.12.20	Grêmio - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
01.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
03.12.20	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	1:1 ✺
30.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
27.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
24.11.20	CS Alagoano - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.09.20	Operário Ferroviario - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2
16.11.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
20.08.19	Operário Ferroviario - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0

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