Match Info
Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Náutico Capibaribe |
|
Guaraní Asuncion |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.2 |
2.37 |
 Watch |
 |
2.7 |
2.95 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.8 |
3 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.98 |
3.06 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.88 |
2.9 |
2.55 |
|
 |
2.85 |
3.14 |
2.57 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.59) |
3.02 ↓
(3.22) |
2.52 ↓
(2.56) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe
32.8% | Draw
30.6% | Guaraní Asuncion
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Náutico Capibaribe - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 10). Náutico has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Guaraní is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Náutico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Náutico have a series of guest games. In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3. Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie B | | | 28.08.20 | Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe | 1:2 | | 14.10.17 | Náutico Capibaribe - Guaraní Asuncion | 2:0 | | 24.06.17 | Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe | 2:1 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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