Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Náutico Capibaribe		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.37	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.5
	2.75	2.9	2.45
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.98	3.06	2.7
	2.88	2.9	2.55
	2.85	3.14	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.59)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)	2.52 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
32.8%

Draw
30.6%

Guaraní Asuncion
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

22.3%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Náutico Capibaribe - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 10).

Náutico has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Náutico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Náutico have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.20	Juventude - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
25.11.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	CRB Maceio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
17.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
13.11.20	Operário Ferroviario - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.11.20	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2
14.10.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0
24.06.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí	✺

Náutico Capibaribe - Guaraní Asuncion