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Current Win Probability
Guaraní Asuncion 50.2%
Draw 29.5%
Osasco Sporting 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
29.1%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.9%
22.2%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.2%
35.7%
19%
Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 19 - 45.2%). Osasco Sporting will win (votes: 8 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 30.1% – 60.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).
Recent matches Guaraní is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Oeste has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Oeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Guaraní is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.