Match Info

Date: 28 August 2020, Friday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.5
	1.77	3.7	4.85
	1.7	3.6	4.6
	1.82	3.58	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.18)	3.5 ↑ (3.16)	4.39 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
52.7%

Draw
26.3%

Náutico Capibaribe
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.3%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

21.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaraní Asuncion's performance.

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	14.3%	9.5%

Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 32 - 76.2%). Náutico will win (votes: 4 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 63.3% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guaraní is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.08.20	Chapecoense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.08.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Juventude	3:3 ✺
19.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
15.08.20	Náutico Capibaribe - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
11.08.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
08.08.20	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.10.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0
24.06.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1

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