Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	River Plate Montevideo		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.25	2.95	2.2
	3.55	3.15	2.04
	3.8	3.36	2.11
	3.5	3.1	2.1
	3.52	3.3	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.46)	3.17 ↓ (3.19)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
26.8%

Draw
29.3%

Guaraní Asuncion
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.9%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

22.1%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-19.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Atlético Nacional - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.10.20	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - LDU Quito	3:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - 12 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWWL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí	2:1 ✺
22.10.20	Vitória Salvador - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Bolívar - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
05.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	3:0
28.09.19	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
12.07.19	Guaraní Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	1:3
06.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
04.03.19	Guaraní Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
Copa Libertadores
08.08.17	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	River Plate Montevideo - Tacuarembó	✺
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺

River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion