The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarani 71.3%
Draw 19%
Brusque 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
26.1%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
27.3%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani's performance.
Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brusque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Guarani - Brusque Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Brusque will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Caique Franca (G) 20. Dudu Marques 6. Emerson Barbosa 29. Everton Brito 27. Herbert 21. Isaque 10. Joao Paulo 95. Jonathan Costa 99. Maranhao 2. Mauricio Antonio 3. Willian Farias
12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 10. Ariel 5. Bernardo (C) 4. Cipriano 7. Clinton 8. Jonatan Lucca 9. Marlyson 2. Pedro Medeiros 15. Rafael Milhorim 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos
Substitutes
15. Carlos Eduardo 66. Kaua Jesus 9. Lucca 77. Mateus Claus (G) 18. Matheus Guilherme 8. Nathan Melo 97. Neto Costa 5. Rafael Donato 45. Rafael Freitas 4. Raphael 26. Renan Castro 30. Ynaia
17. Adrianinho 22. Alex Paulino 18. Alvaro 16. Davi Gabriel 23. Italo Lucas 14. Joao Maistro 24. Leonardo 13. Leonardo Ataide 19. Macario 11. Petterson Novaes 21. Renan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Marlyson 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Maranhao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Marlyson ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
46', Pedro Medeiros ↓, Adrianinho ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Petterson Novaes ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Ariel ⚽,
62', Bernardo 🟨,
73', Willian Farias ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
73', Dudu Marques ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
73', Everton Brito ↓, Ynaia ↑,
74', Paulo Gianezini 🟨,
75', Ariel ↓, Alex Paulino ↑,
75', Clinton ↓, Macario ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Matheus Guilherme ⚽,
82', Ryan Santos ↓, Joao Maistro ↑,
85', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
86', Mauricio Antonio ↓, Lucca ↑,
90+7', Alex Paulino 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 2.
Guarani is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Brusque has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Guarani is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
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