Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Itabaiana		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.80	2.95
	2.45	2.78	2.92	Watch
	2.5	2.65	3.54
	2.76	2.55	3.18	Watch
	2.65	2.35	3.05
	2.26	2.68	3.11	Watch
	2.44	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.3)	2.65 ↓ (2.98)	3.09 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
36.5%

Draw
34.2%

Brusque
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Itabaiana - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Itabaiana will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Brusque will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jefferson (G) 9. Cleiton 17. Fabricio Moura 5. Gustavo Crecci (C) 3. Gustavo Fagundes 7. Leilson 4. Ligger 11. Renatinho 2. Ricardo Cerqueira 10. Rodrigo Alves 6. Tarcisio	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 9. Alvaro 5. Bernardo 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 2. Jeferson (C) 10. Joao Pedro 11. Petterson Novaes 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos
Substitutes
21. Caio Felipe 22. Dequinha 8. Dyego 18. Elimar 19. Everton Kanela 12. Geaze (G) 14. Gustavo Cintra 15. Isaque 23. Julio Lima 13. Lucao 16. Tito 20. Valdenilson	15. Alex Paulino 20. Ariel 22. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 8. Jonatan Lucca 19. Macario 18. Marlyson 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 13. Pedro Medeiros 14. Rafael Milhorim 21. Renan
Coaches
Marcelo Chamusca	Higo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Renatinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alvaro ↓, Marlyson ↑,
54', Tarcisio 🟨,
59', Fabricio Moura 🟨,
62', Cleiton ↓, Valdenilson ↑,
62', Renatinho ↓, Dyego ↑,
68', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Everton Kanela ↑,
69', Gazao ↓, Ariel ↑,
79', Tarcisio ↓, Tito ↑,
79', Leilson ↓, Elimar ↑,
80', Raimar ↓, Davi Gabriel ↑,
80', Joao Pedro ↓, Clinton ↑,
85', Ligger 🟨,
86', Adrianinho ↓, Renan ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Itabaiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabaiana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Brusque: 10.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.26	Amazonas - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Itabaiana - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Anápolis - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Itabaiana - Ituano	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Itabaiana - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLTL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.26	Brusque - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Botafogo PB - Brusque	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Brusque - Floresta	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
04.08.25	Brusque - Itabaiana	0:0

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