Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Guarani		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.05	2.78	3.85
	2.06	2.95	4.2
	1.38	4.63	7.40	Watch
	2.01	2.93	3.84	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)	4.45 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
49.8%

Draw
28.9%

Confiança
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

30.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Guarani - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Confiança (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dalberson (G) 4. Alan Santos (C) 9. Bruno Santos 2. Cicinho 10. Diego Torres 8. Isaque 7. Kaua Jesus 5. Kelvi Gomes 11. Mirandinha 3. Raphael 6. Renan Castro	1. Felipe Scheibig (G) 6. Airton 8. Dionisio 4. Eduardo Moura 5. Luiz Otavio (C) 9. Neto Oliveira 10. Renan 13. Renilson 7. Ronald Camarao 18. Vitinho 2. Weriton
Substitutes
25. Andrey Ventura (G) 21. Dentinho 17. Gabriel Silva 15. Giva 18. Kadi Silva 19. Kewen 13. Lucao 22. Luiz Miguel 14. Marcio Silva 23. Pablo 20. Takahashi R. 16. Vitinho	12. Allan (G) 11. Breiner C. 22. Jhon Cley 21. Lenon 3. Maicon 17. Matheusinho 20. Rafinha 15. Thiago 19. Thiago Santos 16. Vicente

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽,
18', Airton 🟨,
31', Raphael 🟨,
45+2', Mirandinha 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dionisio ↓, Maicon ↑,
47', Eduardo Moura 🟨,
51', Eduardo Moura 🟨,
54', Cicinho 🟨,
59', Kaua Jesus ↓, Dentinho ↑,
59', Mirandinha ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
66', Renan 🟨,
68', Renan ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
72', Cicinho ↓, Kadi Silva ↑,
72', Isaque ↓, Lucao ↑,
75', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
85', Diego Torres ↓, Takahashi R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).

In recent matches, Guarani has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Confiança is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guarani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guarani could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guarani won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
16.08.25	ABC - Guarani	3:4 ✺
09.08.25	Guarani - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Anápolis - Guarani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTLL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.08.25	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.25	Confiança - Floresta	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Ituano - Confiança	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Confiança - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	São Bernardo - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.10.21	Guarani - Confiança	1:2
16.07.21	Confiança - Guarani	1:4

Guarani - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide