The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponte Preta 45.8%
Draw 32.1%
Guarani 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
31.3%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
31.5%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponte Preta's performance.
Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Ponte Preta - Guarani Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Ponte Preta (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 15. Artur 77. Bruno Lopes 7. Diego Tavares 10. Elvis 17. Jonas Toro 27. Luiz Felipe 28. Pacheco 5. Rodrigo Souza 4. Saimon 34. Wanderson
12. Dalberson (G) 4. Allyson 9. Bruno Santos 8. Caio Mello 7. Dentinho 10. Diego Torres (C) 6. Emerson 5. Kelvi Gomes 2. Lucas Justen 11. Mirandinha 3. Raphael
Substitutes
33. Danrlei Santos 3. Edson Rogerio 70. Emanuel L. 35. Gustavo Lopes 20. Joao Gabriel 62. Kevyn 25. Lucas Candido 18. Matheus Henrique 8. Miguel 80. Pedrinho 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 37. Serginho
25. Andrey Ventura (G) 22. Cicinho 14. David Braz 21. Gabriel Silva 15. Giva 20. Isaque 23. Jhemerson 19. Junior Brandao 18. Kadi Silva 17. Kaua Jesus 16. Renan Castro 13. Silva D.
Coaches
Fernandes M.
Matheus Costa
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bruno Lopes ⚽,
28', Raphael 🟨,
45+4', Bruno Santos 🟨,
45+4', Rodrigo Souza 🟨,
45+5', Caio Mello 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caio Mello ↓, Isaque ↑,
46', Lucas Justen ↓, Cicinho ↑,
56', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
56', Mirandinha 🟨,
62', Allyson ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
65', Cicinho 🟨,
70', Dentinho ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
70', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Lucas Candido ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
77', Luiz Felipe ↓, Gustavo Lopes ↑,
77', Diego Tavares ↓, Kevyn ↑,
79', Gustavo Lopes 🟨,
84', Bruno Lopes ↓, Serginho ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet)
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie B Superbet
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2.
Ponte Preta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Guarani has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
Brazil
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Diogo Silva (G) 
Diego Torres (C) 
Cicinho 
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