Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 7

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: da Cruz Y. E. F. (Bra)


	Guarani		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.2
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.42	2.94	3.49
	2.43	2.94	3.49
	2.3	2.9	3.3
	2.37	2.89	3.36
	2.27	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.96)	2.92 ↓ (3.13)	3.36 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
40%

Draw
32.1%

Paysandu
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

30.1%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

29.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarani's form might have worsened.

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paysandu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Guarani - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Vladimir (G) 13. Diogo Mateus 23. Douglas Bacelar 3. Leo Santos 17. Jefferson 18. Matheus Bueno 19. Joao Victor 8. Marlon Douglas 14. Camacho 20. Reinaldo 7. Luccas Paraizo	13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 2. Edilson 3. Quintana Y. 27. Lucas Maia 36. Kevyn 8. Joao Vieira 14. Juninho 28. Leandro Vilela 26. Ruan Ribeiro 15. Garcia E. 11. Nicolas (C)
Substitutes
5. Anderson Leite 31. Douglas Borges (G) 33. Gustavo Franca 6. Kayque 32. Lima 21. Lucas Araujo 15. Pedro Henrique 26. Rafael Freitas 4. Rayan 43. Renyer 25. Witinho 29. Yan Henrique	17. Biel Fonseca 21. Bryan 12. Diogo Silva (G) 18. Edinho 9. Gabriel Santos 34. Leo Pereira 5. Netinho 30. Val Soares 10. Vinicius Leite 4. Wanderson 39. Wesley Fraga
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Helio dos Anjos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Quintana Y. 🟨,
13', Reinaldo 🟨,
17', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
27', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
29', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Edinho ↑,
60', Juninho ↓, Netinho ↑,
62', Marlon Douglas ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
72', Luccas Paraizo ↓, Renyer ↑,
72', Camacho ↓, Kayque ↑,
77', Edilson ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
77', Garcia E. ↓, Bryan ↑,
77', Leandro Vilela ↓, Wesley Fraga ↑,
84', Kevyn 🟨,
84', Joao Victor ↓, Rafael Freitas ↑,
84', Reinaldo ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Guarani is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paysandu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guarani will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
20.05.24	Guarani - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
14.05.24	Coritiba - Guarani	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Guarani - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Santos - Guarani	4:1 ✺
26.04.24	Guarani - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Copa Verde
22.05.24	Paysandu - Vila Nova	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.05.24	Amazonas - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Paysandu - Goiás	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Mirassol - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Paysandu - Avaí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTLT

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