Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 8

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Referee: Oliveira M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Paysandu		Goiás

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.8	2.95	2.7
	2.95	2.98	2.76
	2.87	2.86	2.72
	2.8	2.9	2.75
	2.88	2.91	2.68	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.35)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	2.71 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
33.3%

Draw
32.1%

Goiás
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Paysandu - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Goiás will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 2 - 50%). Goiás (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Goiás (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.60) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 2 - 40%). Goiás (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 2. Edilson 35. Mauricio Antonio 4. Luan Freitas 94. Patric Calmon 28. Leandro Vilela 96. Matheus Vargas 8. Andre Lima 77. Rossi 11. Nicolas (C) 9. Benitez J.	23. Tadeu (C) 20. Diego Caito 75. Messias 14. Lucas Ribeiro 97. Willean Lepo 5. Freitas G. 28. Juninho 8. Rafael Gava 30. Welliton 9. Anselmo Ramon 17. Pedrinho
Substitutes
21. Bryan Borges 32. Cavalleri M. 22. Eliel 12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 10. Giovanni 31. Iago Hass (G) 34. Lucca Carvalho 30. Marcelinho 27. Ramon Martinez 16. Reverson	4. Anthony 45. Arthur Caike 55. Baldoria 31. Barcelo F. 66. Danilo Cunha 12. Ezequiel (G) 7. Jaja 25. Luquinhas 32. Rodrigo Andrade 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 22. Vitinho 27. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Willean Lepo 🟨,
38', Benitez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Freitas G. 🟨,
59', Welliton ↓, Jaja ↑,
71', Patric Calmon ↓, Bryan Borges ↑,
71', Rafael Gava ↓, Rodrigo Andrade ↑,
71', Pedrinho ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
73', Jaja 🟨,
79', Rodrigo Andrade 🟨,
82', Nicolas ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
82', Andre Lima ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
88', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
88', Diego Caito ↓, Baldoria ↑,
89', Matheus Vargas ↓, Giovanni ↑,
89', Nicolas 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.

Recent form of Paysandu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Goiás has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Paysandu: Edinho (Injury) Kevyn (Knee Injury) Novillo J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Goiás: Aloisio (Inactive) Garcia E. (Inactive) Marcao Silva (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Borasi B. (Inactive) Delvalle P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Goiás: Lucas Lovat (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
14.05.25	América Mineiro - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
11.05.25	Remo - Paysandu	1:1 penalties ✺
07.05.25	Paysandu - Remo	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.25	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	Paysandu - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLLL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
10.05.25	Goiás - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
05.05.25	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Botafogo SP - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
23.04.25	Goiás - Paysandu	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
20.04.25	América Mineiro - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
23.04.25	Goiás - Paysandu	1:2 penalties
09.04.25	Paysandu - Goiás	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
01.09.24	Goiás - Paysandu	1:1
15.05.24	Paysandu - Goiás	1:1
Brazilian Copa Verde
31.05.23	Goiás - Paysandu	2:1
17.05.23	Paysandu - Goiás	0:2
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.18	Paysandu - Goiás	2:3

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