Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 10

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Guarani		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.58
	6	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.55
	6.32	3.91	1.57
	5.8	3.7	1.5
	5.77	3.81	1.58
	5.4	3.7	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (5.2)	3.78 ↑ (3.33)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
16.1%

Draw
24.5%

São Paulo
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

27.1%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

26.3%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Guarani - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Vladimir (G) 13. Diogo Mateus 3. Leo Santos 4. Rayan 44. Marcio Silva 5. Anderson Leite 16. Helder Santos 14. Camacho 78. Regis 27. Gabriel Santos 7. Pablo Thomaz	23. Rafael (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 3. Ferraresi N. 28. Franco A. 6. Welington 25. Alisson 29. Pablo Maia 33. Erick 15. Michel Araujo 47. Ferreirinha 9. Jonathan Calleri
Substitutes
22. Alvaro (G) 31. Douglas Borges (G) 33. Gustavo Franca 37. Iago Teles 19. Joao Victor 12. Lucas Adell 8. Marlon Douglas 18. Matheus Bueno 26. Rafael Freitas 20. Reinaldo 25. Witinho	21. Bobadilla D. 14. Giuliano Galoppo 93. Jandrei (G) 31. Juan Santos 7. Lucas Moura 10. Luciano 41. Ly I. 44. Matheus Belem 43. Nikao 36. Patryck 27. Wellington Rato 39. William Gomes
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Thiago Carpini

Preview

Guarani has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches São Paulo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guarani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarani won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
18.02.24	Portuguesa - Guarani	1:0 ✺
15.02.24	Guarani - Santo André	2:2 ✺
12.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Guarani - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Santos - Guarani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.02.24	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	São Paulo - Santos	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ponte Preta - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	São Paulo - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
Supercopa do Brasil
04.02.24	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
27.01.22	Guarani - São Paulo	2:1
14.04.21	São Paulo - Guarani	3:2

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