Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)


	Guarani		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3	3
	2.25	3.15	3.1
	2.43	3.17	3.27
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.29	3.24	3.2	Watch
	2.27	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.24)	3.13 ↓ (3.17)	3.15 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
40.7%

Draw
29.8%

Vitória Salvador
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	35.3%	23.5%

Guarani - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guarani: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pegorari (G) 13. Diogo Mateus (C) 14. Ivan Alvarino 34. Walber 6. Mayk 5. Matheus Barbosa 18. Matheus Bueno 19. Joao Victor 29. Isaque 27. Bruninho 11. Derek	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 2. Zeca (C) 3. Joao Victor 4. Wagner Leonardo 6. Marcelo Nunes 5. Leo Gomes 8. Rodrigo Andrade 11. Osvaldo 10. Wellington Nem 7. Jose Hugo 22. Santiago Trellez
Substitutes
32. Arthur (G) 28. Bernardo 9. Bruno Mendes 15. Eliel 8. Lima 21. Lucas Araujo 20. Lucas Silva 7. Neilton 78. Regis 16. Titi 23. Wenderson 30. Yan	15. Diego Fumaca 16. Felipe Vieira 17. Gege 20. Giovanni Augusto 14. Marco Antonio 18. Matheus Trindade 21. Pablo 19. Thiago Lopes 12. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 9. Welder 13. Yan Souto
Coaches
Ben-Hur	Conde L.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Guarani is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vitória is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guarani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guarani will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Guarani: Regis (Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Dionisio (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Matheuzinho (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
10.06.23	Vila Nova - Guarani	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Guarani - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Tombense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Guarani - Chapecoense	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
11.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
06.06.23	Tombense - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Ituano	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.08.21	Vitória Salvador - Guarani	1:0
28.05.21	Guarani - Vitória Salvador	1:1

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