Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 10

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)


	Vitória Salvador		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.5
	1.72	3.25	5
	1.82	3.47	5.04
	1.78	3.25	4.75
	1.78	3.48	4.8	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.38)	4.78 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
52.8%

Draw
27.7%

Ituano
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Vitória Salvador - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Ituano will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 2. Zeca (C) 13. Camutanga 4. Wagner Leonardo 6. Marcelo Nunes 5. Marco Antonio 8. Rodrigo Andrade 10. Wellington Nem 11. Osvaldo 7. Jose Hugo 22. Santiago Trellez	12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Iury 3. Claudinho 4. Rafael Pereira (C) 5. Martha 6. Mario Sergio 7. Felipe Saraiva 8. Thiaguinho 9. Paulo Victor 10. Eduardo Person 11. Helio Borges
Substitutes
12. Dalton (G) 18. Diego Fumaca 17. Diego Torres 16. Felipe Vieira 20. Gege 14. Joao Victor 15. Leo Gomes 19. Pablo 21. Railan 9. Thiago Lopes 23. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 3. Yan Souto	20. Alejandro 1. Deivity (G) 22. Felipe Fonseca 18. Jose Aldo 16. Leal Silva K. R. 17. Lucas Siqueira 15. Marcel Scalese 13. Matheus Aluisio 19. Quirino 21. Rafael Carvalheira 14. Vinicius Faria
Coaches
Conde L.	Marcinho

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 13).

Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vitória is a favorite.

There will not play in Vitória: Giovanni Augusto (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Bruno Xavier (Injury) Jonathan Vieira (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
27.05.23	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Goianiense	2:3 ✺
10.05.23	Ceará - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLLW
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
27.05.23	Ituano - Londrina	3:1 ✺
24.05.23	Vila Nova - Ituano	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	Ituano - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Criciúma - Ituano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTL

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