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Current Win Probability
Guarani 45.9%
Draw 32.5%
CRB Maceio 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
29.5%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
30.2%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
33.3%
40%
Guarani - CRB Maceio Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). CRB will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 15.2% – 64.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pegorari (G) 28. Pacheco 23. Douglas Bacelar 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 17. Jefferson 33. Gabriel Bispo 18. Matheus Bueno 19. Joao Victor 11. Estevao 5. Anderson Leite 99. Caio Dantas
12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 26. Gustavo Henrique 37. Wanderson 66. Ryan Carlos 35. Marco Antonio 98. Falcao 8. Gege 38. Leo Pereira 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 10. Rafael Bilu
Substitutes
9. Bruno Mendes 2. Heitor 39. Lohan 12. Lucas Adell 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Marcelinho 77. Marlon Maranhao 3. Matheus Mancini 47. Pierre 20. Reinaldo 15. Rene 89. Vladimir (G)
14. Chay 34. Darlisson 5. Kallyel L. 75. Kleiton 2. Matheus Ribeiro 7. Mike 17. Romulo 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 3. Wallace 13. Willian Formiga
Coaches
Aal A.
Helio dos Anjos
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Anselmo Ramon ⚽,
35', Hereda 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Matheus Salustiano ⚽,
45+6', Matheus Salustiano 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marco Antonio ↓, Romulo ↑,
46', Rafael Bilu ↓, Mike ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Gabriel Bispo ⚽, Matheus Bueno (A),
67', Falcao ↓, Chay ↑,
67', Anderson Leite ↓, Heitor ↑,
67', Estevao ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
76', Ryan Carlos ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
77', Gege ↓, Kleiton ↑,
84', Joao Victor ↓, Marlon Maranhao ↑,
84', Caio Dantas ↓, Pierre ↑,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guarani won 1.
Guarani is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches CRB is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Guarani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guarani is a favorite.
There will not play in Guarani: Airton
(Injury)
Bruno Mendes
(Injury)
Marlon Douglas
(Injury)
There will not play in CRB: Fabio Alemao
(Injury)
Heron
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Guarani won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.7:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
Brazil
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