Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 9

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)


	Avaí		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.1
	2.38	2.95	3.05	Watch
	2.4	3.12	3.38
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.34	3.18	3.18	Watch
	2.33	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.95)	3.04 ↑ (2.91)	3.15 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
39.8%

Draw
30.6%

Vitória Salvador
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

31.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

30.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória Salvador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Avaí - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Ygor Vinhas (G) 72. Thales Oleques (C) 4. Roberto Rosa 19. Alan 25. Natanael 8. Eduardo 39. Xavier 23. Rafael Gava 7. Dentinho 28. Gustavo Simoes 20. Vitinho	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 2. Railan 13. Camutanga 4. Wagner Leonardo 6. Marcelo Nunes 5. Marco Antonio 3. Joao Victor 8. Rodrigo Andrade (C) 10. Wellington Nem 22. Santiago Trellez 17. Rafinha
Substitutes
53. Alexander (G) 78. Andrey 35. Felipe Silva 38. Felipinho 17. Gustavo Modesto 98. Igor 2. Igor Dutra 94. Julio Cesar 77. Marquinhos Cipriano 9. Ricardo Bueno 13. Waguininho 5. Wellington	12. Dalton (G) 18. Diego Fumaca 20. Diego Torres 16. Felipe Vieira 99. Gege 15. Leo Gomes 19. Pablo 7. Thiago Lopes 9. Welder 14. Yan Souto 21. Zeca
Coaches
Marquinhos	Conde L.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 2.

Avaí is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vitória is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Avaí: Fabricio Baiano (Injury) Guilherme Santos (Injury) Igor Bohn (Injury) Patino S. (Injury) Thiago Rosa (Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Giovanni Augusto (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Avaí won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
23.05.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	2:0 ✺
19.05.23	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	0:0 ✺
12.05.23	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:4 ✺
06.05.23	Tombense - Avaí	0:1 ✺
03.05.23	Avaí - Vila Nova	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.23	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Goianiense	2:3 ✺
10.05.23	Ceará - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Botafogo SP - Vitória Salvador	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.11.21	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	1:1
31.07.21	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	0:0
13.01.21	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	2:2
10.10.20	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	1:2
Brazilian Serie A
12.08.17	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	0:1
14.05.17	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.12	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	2:0

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