Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Tombense		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.5	2.82	2.12
	3.94	2.99	2.27
	4.59	2.93	1.94	Watch
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.62	2.81	2.14	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.96)	2.94 ↓ (2.99)	2.15 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
25.7%

Draw
31.4%

Guarani
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

30.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Tombense - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Guarani (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Douglas Marques (G) 11. Anderson Ligeiro 5. Claudinei 6. Dudu Mandai 8. Fabricio Dias 3. Fernando 10. Jefferson Renan 2. Julio Henrique 7. Pedro Oliveira 9. Rafhael Lucas 4. Wesley (C)	12. Dalberson (G) 4. Alan Santos (C) 9. Bruno Santos 10. Diego Torres 6. Emerson 8. Giva 7. Kaua Jesus 5. Kelvi Gomes 2. Lucas Justen 11. Mirandinha 3. Raphael
Substitutes
20. Adson 13. Breno Roma 18. Cleiton 23. Davi Schneider (G) 22. Joao Mandovani 15. Joao Vitor 19. Jupi 16. Kaike 21. Luiz Felipe 14. Tarcisio 17. Vasconcelos H. 12. Vinicius Dias (G)	25. Andrey Ventura (G) 1. Emerson Junior (G) 17. Gabriel Silva 15. Kadi Silva 13. Lucao 18. Lucas Flor 21. Luiz Miguel 14. Marcio Silva 19. Pablo 20. Takahashi R. 16. Vitinho
Coaches
Marcelo Chamusca	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Lucas Justen ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rafhael Lucas ↓, Jupi ↑,
50', Claudinei 🟨,
63', Diego Torres 🟨,
67', Jefferson Renan 🟨,
70', Mirandinha ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑,
70', Kaua Jesus ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
70', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
70', Claudinei ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Bruno Santos ⚽,
73', 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Jupi ⚽,
79', Anderson Ligeiro ↓, Cleiton ↑,
80', Dudu Mandai ↓, Kaike ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Luiz Felipe ⚽,

Preview

Tombense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guarani is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guarani might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.25	Botafogo PB - Tombense	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Tombense - Caxias	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Floresta - Tombense	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	São Bernardo - Tombense	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Tombense - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLLT
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
25.08.25	Guarani - Confiança	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	ABC - Guarani	3:4 ✺
09.08.25	Guarani - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.09.23	Guarani - Tombense	3:0
28.05.23	Tombense - Guarani	1:1
27.08.22	Guarani - Tombense	2:1
14.05.22	Tombense - Guarani	1:1

Tombense - Guarani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide