Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 11

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Almeidão (Tombos)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)


	Tombense		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3	2.85
	2.55	3	2.75
	2.5	3.15	3.16
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.56	3.2	2.83	Watch
	2.44	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.44)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
37.3%

Draw
30.3%

Vitória Salvador
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	18.7%	56.2%

Tombense - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Vitória will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Augusto 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 6. Emerson 8. Egidio 5. Pierre 7. Marcelinho 10. Matheus Frizzo 11. Kevin 9. Fernandao	1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 13. Camutanga 3. Joao Victor 4. Wagner Leonardo 8. Rodrigo Andrade 5. Marco Antonio 2. Railan 6. Marcelo Nunes 11. Osvaldo (C) 10. Wellington Nem 22. Santiago Trellez
Substitutes
19. Alex Sandro 20. Daniel Amorim 18. Gregorio P. 16. Jaderson 26. Jean (G) 17. Keke 12. Leo Lang (G) 13. Luis Felipe 21. Luiz Fernando 22. Mederos F. 14. Wesley 15. Ze Vitor	12. Dalton (G) 19. Dibble N. 17. Diego Fumaca 20. Diego Torres 16. Felipe Vieira 18. Gege 7. Jose Hugo 15. Leo Gomes 21. Pablo 9. Thiago Lopes 14. Yan Souto
Coaches
Marcelo Chamusca	Conde L.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Tombense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vitória is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tombense will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tombense: Alex Sandro (Injury) Guilherme Santos (Injury) Keke (Injury) Kleiton (Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Giovanni Augusto (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
02.06.23	Botafogo SP - Tombense	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Tombense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
23.05.23	ABC - Tombense	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Tombense - Londrina	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Ceará - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
02.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Ituano	3:0 ✺
27.05.23	Avaí - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Goianiense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWLL

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