Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Antônio Magalhães Rossel (Bagé)


	Guarany de Bagé		Altos

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.16	2.85	3.45
	2.16	3.06	3.55
	2.19	3.05	3.58	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.19	3.16	3.57
	2.16	2.85	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.7)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.5 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarany de Bagé
42.5%

Draw
31%

Altos
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarany de Bagé's performance.

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarany de Bagé that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Guarany de Bagé - Altos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guarany de Bagé will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jonathan (G) 16. Allan 4. Bruno Cardoso 5. David Cunha (C) 8. Denis Germano 23. Fabao 6. Joao Victor 10. Luiz Felipe 7. Rogerio Sena 2. Talles 9. Yan Philippe	1. Careca (G) 4. Alberte 8. Dieguinho 11. Felipe Sales 6. Jefferson Vinicius 3. Joecio (C) 7. Jonathan 19. Lucas Reis 5. Marcos Antonio 10. Reinaldo 2. Rodrigo Negueba
Substitutes
13. Cristian Lessa 22. Douglas Dias (G) 19. Janderson 17. Lucas Kawan 20. Marllon 21. Murilo 14. Saulo 15. Vitor Oliveira 3. Ze Pedro	17. Cleiton 22. Gean 18. Joao Marcelo 14. Leozidio 9. Rodrigao 12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G) 21. Wesley Pratti

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
10', Allan 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Marcos Antonio ↓, Digao ↑,
46', Jefferson Vinicius ↓, Savio ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Lucas Reis ⚽,
52', 1 - 1, Yan Philippe ⚽,
56', Reinaldo ↓, Cleiton ↑,
57', Bruno Cardoso 🟨,
58', Denis Germano ↓, Lucas Kawan ↑,
59', Allan ↓, Murilo ↑,
59', Luiz Felipe ↓, Marllon ↑,
66', Yan Philippe ↓, Janderson ↑,
72', Rogerio Sena ↓, Saulo ↑,
79', Talles 🟨,
88', 2 - 1, Lucas Kawan ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Guarany de Bagé is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Altos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Altos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guarany de Bagé will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
23.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLTL
- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
22.02.25	4 de Julho - Altos	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.02.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Altos	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
14.02.25	Atlético Piauiense - Altos	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.02.25	Altos - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
08.02.25	Altos - Ríver PI	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTWW

Guarany de Bagé - Altos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide