Match Info

BRAZIL: GAUCHO - ROUND 8

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday


	Guarany de Bagé		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.75	3	Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.8
	2.5	3	2.9	Watch
	2.31	2.94	2.64
	2.44	2.88	3.1
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.43	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.44	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.85)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	2.9 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarany de Bagé
37.7%

Draw
31.1%

Novo Hamburgo
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

32.5%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

31.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarany de Bagé's performance.

Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Guarany de Bagé - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (G) 15. Allan 5. David Cunha 16. Ferreira Macario Dias J. G. 2. Lessa 11. Marcos Antonio 18. Mauri 3. Micael 9. Michel 4. Saulo 21. Wilson Junior	1. Lucas Maticoli (G) 7. Anderson Tanque 2. Anilson 17. Erick Bahia 4. Felipe Santiago 8. Filipe Fraga 10. Guilherme Garre 9. Luam 3. Marcao 6. Rai 5. Robson
Substitutes
8. Arez 7. Giovanni 22. Gustavo Silva (G) 20. Joao Pedro 23. Jorginho 14. Leo 19. Mateuzinho 17. Murilo Xavier 13. Oliveira Januario H.	16. Antony 21. De Paula 19. Edipo 11. Euder 14. Itaqui 15. Joao Barbieri 12. Lorenzo (G) 22. Oliveira 18. Paulinho Dias 13. Thiago Silva

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guarany de Bagé could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
11.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
08.02.24	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	Guarany de Bagé - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Santa Cruz-RS - Guarany de Bagé	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 TTTWT
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
10.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Novo Hamburgo - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Ypiranga - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Novo Hamburgo - Avenida	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.02.22	Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé	2:0

Guarany de Bagé - Novo Hamburgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide