Match Info

Gaucho - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)


	Grêmio		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	1.2	5	12	Watch
	1.2	5.7	11.5	Watch
	1.21	5.94	12.17
	1.21	6.24	12.29	Watch
	1.2	5	13
	1.18	5.55	13.6	Watch
	1.18	6.33	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.18)	5.68 ↑ (5.45)	12.51 ↓ (16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
76.5%

Draw
16.1%

Novo Hamburgo
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.5%

16.8%

5.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Grêmio (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weverton (G) 14. Marcos Rocha (C) 53. Gustavo Martins 3. Wagner Leonardo 38. Caio Paulista 47. Roger 19. Noriega E. 88. Willian 8. Edenilson 9. Amuzu F. 95. Carlos Vinicius	1. Omar (G) 3. Romercio 4. Joao Marcus 6. Josue 2. Guilherme Mantuan 8. Carlos Maia 5. Amaral (C) 10. Marcos Vinicius 7. Rone 9. Luam Parede 11. Allison
Substitutes
77. Andre Henrique 16. Aravena A. 10. Cristaldo F. 17. Dodi 99. Enamorado J. 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 37. Gabriel Mec 40. Jefinho 23. Marlon 39. Tiago 44. Viery 4. Walter Kannemann	12. Breno Boeno (G) 15. de Souza Marques S. 17. Ghiven 21. Joao Castro 19. Matheus Batista 22. Muriel 25. Pablo (G) 20. Sandi Y. 13. Santana V. 18. Santos C. 16. Vinicius Amaral 14. Vinicius Kiss
Coaches
Castro L.	Rogerio Zimermann

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Romercio 🟨,
31', Rone 🟨,
39', Joao Marcus 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Roger ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Carlos Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
58', Edenilson 🟨,
59', Carlos Maia ↓, Vinicius Kiss ↑,
60', Rone ↓, Henrique ↑,
63', Edenilson ↓, Dodi ↑,
63', Henrique 🟨,
68', Luam Parede ↓, Matheus Batista ↑,
70', Willian ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
71', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
74', Caio Paulista 🟨,
80', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Joao Castro ↑,
82', Caio Paulista ↓, Marlon ↑,
82', Marcos Rocha ↓, Jefinho ↑,
85', Noriega E. 🟨,
85', Vinicius Kiss 🟨,
86', Noriega E. 🟨,
89', Allison 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grêmio is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:11. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Grêmio - Botafogo RJ	5:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
31.01.26	Grêmio - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Fluminense - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.01.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	4:2 ✺
21.01.26	Guarany de Bagé - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLLW
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
31.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Avenida - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	São Luiz - Novo Hamburgo	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
06.02.24	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	2:0
24.02.23	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	6:1
05.03.22	Novo Hamburgo - Grêmio	1:1
18.04.21	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	3:1
02.08.20	Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo	4:3
29.07.20	Novo Hamburgo - Grêmio	0:0
20.01.19	Novo Hamburgo - Grêmio	0:4

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