Match Info

Date: 25 July 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá)

Referee: Benitez D. (Par)


	12 de Octubre		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.3	3.2	2.08
	3.2	3.15	2.18
	3.53	3.23	2.27
	3.75	3.1	1.95	Watch
	3.35	3.22	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.73)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.14 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

12 de Octubre
27.4%

Draw
29.4%

Nacional Asuncion
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

28.9%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

30.3%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

12 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	56.5%	39.1%

12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 56.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 0.

12 de Octubre is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional Asuncion is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently 12 de Octubre have a series of guest games.

Nacional Asuncion will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 1 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams 12 de Octubre won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.07.22	Sol de América - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
17.07.22	Cerro Porteño - 12 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
03.07.22	12 de Octubre - General Caballero JLM	1:3 ✺
26.06.22	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:1 ✺
22.06.22	Resistencia - 12 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.07.22	Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
17.07.22	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	1:2 ✺
01.07.22	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
22.06.22	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
10.05.22	12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion	1:2
25.02.22	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2
25.09.21	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:1
17.07.21	12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion	2:2
30.05.21	12 de Octubre - Nacional Asuncion	2:2
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.21	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	0:1 penalties
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.03.21	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:1

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