The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Resistencia 17.1%
Draw 21.9%
Guaraní Asuncion 61%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
27.5%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
27.8%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Resistencia's form might have worsened.
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaraní Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
14.3%
78.6%
Resistencia - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Resistencia will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Guaraní will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 57.1% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gimenez R. (G) 17. Acevedo E. 18. Aguilera Colman D. A. 15. Cabrera Benitez E. 24. Diaz E. 39. Gonzalez A. 11. Lezcano H. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 5. Quinonez A. (C) 21. Recalde J. 7. Salinas R.
1. Munoz R. (C) 31. Barcelo F. 10. Benitez B. 4. Benitez M. 16. Cespedes V. 5. Gil Romero G. 18. Mino Amarilla C. E. 8. Moreira E. 3. Moya J. 2. Raul Caceres 27. Roman Torales F. J.
Substitutes
8. Araujo J. 4. Brizuela O. 6. Candia W. 10. Jorge Nunez 16. Moreira J. 23. Rhuan (G)
38. Diaz B. 23. Prieto R. 6. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 20. Rios R. D. 19. Rivarola V. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 9. Santander F.
Coaches
Recalde C.
de Muner P.
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 1.
Resistencia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Guaraní is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Guaraní is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Resistencia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.