Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Guaraní Asuncion		Boston River

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.51	4	6.25
	1.4	4.33	8	Watch
	1.42	4.4	7.78
	1.54	4.01	6.58	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6	Watch
	1.42	4.33	7.9	Watch
	1.4	4.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)	4.23 ↓ (4.87)	7.31 ↓ (8.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
64.9%

Draw
22.3%

Boston River
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.1%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

16.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Guaraní Asuncion - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 2 - 50%). Boston River (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Boston River (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 2 - 40%). Boston River (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rodriguez M. (G) 5. Lopez M. (C) 24. Patino Martinez J. 14. Vargas G. 32. Cantero A. 36. Martinez L. 19. Romero A. 10. Mendieta W. 21. Pinatares B. 11. Barrientos N. 17. Torales R.	33. Hernandez E. (G) 16. Silva A. 23. Rivero M. 4. Gomez M. 22. Martinez F. 21. Lopez G. 32. Barcia B. 5. Lemos L. 10. Amado A. 7. Rodriguez F. 24. Gutierrez J.
Substitutes
29. Alfonso O. 16. Cespedes V. 30. Gimenez M. (G) 4. Ibarrola W. 28. Leguizamon A. 33. Maciel A. 20. Maidana A. 8. Maiz A. 6. Marecos G. 35. Pereira A. 9. Ramirez I. 27. Roman Torales F. J.	99. Adamo V. 70. Albarracin A. 9. Anello A. 1. Antunez B. (G) 14. Bortagaray G. 25. Chiappini F. 26. Munoa F. 11. Noguera F. 15. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 29. Perez G. 17. Robatto J. 8. Vera M.
Coaches
Arce F.	Viera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
24', 0 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
39', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Gutierrez J. ⚽, Rodriguez F. (A),
45+2', 0 - 3, Lopez G. ⚽, Amado A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Barrientos N. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
46', Pinatares B. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
46', Mendieta W. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
46', Patino Martinez J. ↓, Maciel A. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Barcia B. ⚽,
61', Torales R. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
65', 0 - 5, Lopez G. ⚽, Gutierrez J. (A),
68', Rodriguez F. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
68', Barcia B. ↓, Noguera F. ↑,
75', Silva A. ↓, Robatto J. ↑,
75', Gutierrez J. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
78', Cantero A. 🟨,
79', Lemos L. ↓, Chiappini F. ↑,

Preview

Guaraní has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boston River's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guaraní is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Atlético Tembetary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.05.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Boston River - Cerro	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.25	Nacional Potosí - Boston River	3:0 ✺
06.05.25	Boston River - Independiente	1:5 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.05.25	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
01.04.25	Boston River - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3

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