Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Boston River		Independiente

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.7	Watch
	5	3.4	1.71
	5	3.5	1.72	Watch
	5.12	3.59	1.75
	4.91	3.68	1.74	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.73	Watch
	4.4	3.78	1.76	Watch
	5	3.5	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↑ (4.5)	3.56 ↓ (3.73)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boston River
19.1%

Draw
26.5%

Independiente
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

25.1%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

26.5%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Boston River - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston River (votes: 2 - 40%). Independiente (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 4. Gomez M. 14. Bortagaray G. 22. Martinez F. 10. Amado A. 8. Vera M. (C) 70. Albarracin A. 32. Barcia B. 11. Noguera F. 9. Anello A.	33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 5. Loyola F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 77. Angulo A. 10. Cabral L. 14. Millan L. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 27. Tarzia D. 34. Gimenez M.
Substitutes
25. Chiappini F. 28. Gonzalez A. 24. Gutierrez J. 33. Hernandez E. (G) 5. Lemos L. 26. Munoa F. 15. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 29. Perez G. 23. Rivero M. 7. Rodriguez F. 16. Silva A. 18. Viera G.	1. Blazquez J. (G) 6. Freire N. 16. Hidalgo S. 18. Maestro I. 11. Mancuello F. 21. Martinez D. 37. Medina J. 7. Montiel S. 19. Roman P. 35. Salle S. 3. Sporle A. 28. Taborda E.
Coaches
Viera J.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Anello A. ⚽, Martinez F. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽, Cabral L. (A),
21', 1 - 2, Millan L. ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Barcia B. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
46', 1 - 3, Tarzia D. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
61', Acosta J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 4, Gimenez M. (Pen),
67', Albarracin A. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
67', Noguera F. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
67', Anello A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
71', Gimenez M. 🟨,
73', Cabral L. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
74', Gimenez M. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
82', Millan L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
82', Lomonaco K. ↓, Freire N. ↑,
84', Amado A. 🟨,
85', Amado A. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
89', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Medina J. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 5, Hidalgo S. ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),

Preview

Boston River is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Independiente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.

In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston River won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.05.25	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Boston River - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.25	Boston River - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.04.25	Danubio - Boston River	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Boston River - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Independiente - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Independiente	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.25	Independiente - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
08.04.25	Independiente - Boston River	2:1

Upcoming Matches