Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Boston River		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.7	Watch
	2.48	2.98	2.82
	2.69	3.1	2.87
	2.45	3.11	2.99	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.88
	2.57	2.94	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.6)	2.97 ↓ (3.16)	2.87 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
36.5%

Draw
31.2%

Montevideo Wanderers
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston River (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 23. Rivero M. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 13. Fernandez I. 16. Suhr L. 14. Dafonte F. 10. Amado A. 22. Martinez F. 21. Perez F. 32. Gonzalez Y. 9. Gonzalez A.	1. Buffa A. (G) 6. Zazpe L. 13. Formiliano F. 21. Benitez S. 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 8. Furtado N. 11. Luna J. 31. Freitas G. 16. Alberti J. 70. Levato M. 80. Urretaviscaya J. (C)
Substitutes
31. Acosta J. 25. Aguirre A. 5. Barrios F. 8. Bonfiglio F. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 11. Ramirez G. 99. Reyna G. 2. Sotto K. 15. Vazquez L.	14. Acosta M. 18. Baju L. 20. Guzman S. 30. Labandeira F. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 5. Queiroz N. 12. Rio J. (G) 7. Rivero R. 9. Roque R. 24. Suarez P.
Coaches
Ithurralde I.	Corujo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Y. ⚽,
12', Suhr L. 🟨,
19', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
23', Luna J. 🟨,
34', Levato M. 🟨,
38', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Suhr L. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
46', Fernandez I. ↓, Acosta J. ↑,
46', Zazpe L. ↓, Mencia Hernandez D. J. ↑,
46', Alberti J. ↓, Queiroz N. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
58', Gonzalez A. ↓, Bonfiglio F. ↑,
65', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Labandeira F. ↑,
65', Luna J. ↓, Suarez P. ↑,
68', Furtado N. 🟨,
69', Martinez F. ↓, O'Neill Lopez J. S. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Labandeira F. ⚽,
74', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
81', Amado A. ↓, Barrios F. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, O'Neill Lopez J. S. ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo Wanderers - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.57%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Boston River	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Progreso - Boston River	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLL
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.03.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro	3:0 ✺
25.03.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
31.10.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	2:2
02.05.25	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0
05.10.24	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	3:2
31.03.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	0:2
12.11.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	0:2
23.07.23	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
02.04.23	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1

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