Match Info

Date: 6 October 2020, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Ponte Preta		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.75	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.94	3	3.8
	2.09	2.85	3.8
	2.18	2.99	4.16
	2.1	2.8	4
	2.12	2.97	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	3.86 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
44.9%

Draw
31.2%

Guaraní Asuncion
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

24.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	21.9%	15.6%

Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Ponte Preta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guaraní is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.20	Ponte Preta - Juventude	1:3 ✺
30.09.20	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
27.09.20	Ponte Preta - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.09.20	América Mineiro - Ponte Preta	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.09.20	Ponte Preta - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLT
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.20	América Mineiro - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.10.20	Tigre - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.09.20	Club General Díaz - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.03.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	3:2
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	0:0
11.08.19	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.03.19	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	3:0
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.18	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
05.05.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	2:3
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.13	Guaraní Asuncion - Ponte Preta	1:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
30.10.26	Criciúma - Ponte Preta	✺
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺

Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion