Match Info
Date: 6 October 2020, Tuesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ponte Preta |
|
Guaraní Asuncion |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3 |
3.75 |
 Watch |
 |
2 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.94 |
3 |
3.8 |
|
 |
2.09 |
2.85 |
3.8 |
|
 |
2.18 |
2.99 |
4.16 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
4 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.97 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.07) |
2.96 ↓
(3.15) |
3.86 ↑
(3.74) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ponte Preta
44.9% | Draw
31.2% | Guaraní Asuncion
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 45.7% – 79.3%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
Limited number of spectators. This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C). Ponte Preta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Guaraní is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6. Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
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