Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	5	Watch
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.8	3.05	4.4
	1.77	3.15	4.8
	1.84	3.37	5.13
	1.83	3.2	4.5
	1.82	3.35	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.94)	3.2 ↑ (2.99)	4.73 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
51.4%

Draw
28.9%

Figueirense
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

30.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

19.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Figueirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	31.8%	13.6%

Guaraní Asuncion - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Figueirense will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Figueirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guaraní is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Confiança	1:0 ✺
13.12.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Guaraní Asuncion	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.12.20	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
08.12.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
17.12.20	Figueirense - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
12.12.20	Figueirense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
09.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
06.12.20	Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Confiança - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.09.20	Figueirense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2
31.08.19	Figueirense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
27.04.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Figueirense	0:0
06.11.18	Figueirense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
17.07.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Figueirense	2:3
26.08.17	Figueirense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
23.05.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Figueirense	2:0

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