Match Info

Date: 17 December 2020, Thursday


	Figueirense		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	5	3	1.72	Watch
	4.4	2.9	1.85
	4.7	3.05	1.76	Watch
	5	3	1.79
	5.67	3.16	1.84
	5.5	2.9	1.8
	5.1	3.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (3.91)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	1.8 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
18.2%

Draw
30.6%

América Mineiro
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

32.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

21.3%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Figueirense's form might have worsened.

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting América Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Figueirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	16.7%	72.2%

Figueirense - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). América MG will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 57.6% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
12.12.20	Figueirense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
09.12.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
06.12.20	Figueirense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Confiança - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
26.11.20	Figueirense - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWTT
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
12.12.20	América Mineiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
08.12.20	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	CS Alagoano - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
02.12.20	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
27.11.20	Osasco Sporting - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.09.20	América Mineiro - Figueirense	0:1
12.10.19	Figueirense - América Mineiro	2:1
13.07.19	América Mineiro - Figueirense	0:4
11.11.17	Figueirense - América Mineiro	1:2
21.07.17	América Mineiro - Figueirense	4:2
Brazilian Serie A
14.09.16	Figueirense - América Mineiro	2:2
05.06.16	América Mineiro - Figueirense	1:0

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