Match Info

Date: 31 August 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Guaraní Asuncion		Osasco Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.25
	1.78	3.1	4.5
	1.88	3	4.5
	1.92	3.1	4.85
	1.85	3.1	4.6
	1.87	3.24	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.86)	3.13 ↓ (3.16)	4.55 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
50.2%

Draw
29.5%

Osasco Sporting
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

20.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osasco Sporting, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.2%	35.7%	19%

Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 19 - 45.2%). Osasco Sporting will win (votes: 8 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 30.1% – 60.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oeste has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guaraní is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.08.20	Chapecoense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.08.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLW
- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
28.08.20	Osasco Sporting - Avaí	0:2 ✺
21.08.20	América Mineiro - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
18.08.20	Osasco Sporting - Ponte Preta	1:3 ✺
15.08.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
12.08.20	CRB Maceio - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
07.02.20	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
07.09.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting	2:3
01.05.19	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
27.10.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting	1:1
05.07.18	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
07.10.17	Osasco Sporting - Guaraní Asuncion	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	✺

Guaraní Asuncion - Osasco Sporting