Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Guaraní Asuncion		Sol de América

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.13	3.29	3.57
	2.13	3.26	3.45	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.28	3.47	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.93)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	3.39 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
44.1%

Draw
28.6%

Sol de América
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sol de América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guaraní Asuncion - Sol de América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Servio G. (C) 37. Perez D. 14. Vargas G. 3. Riveros P. 4. Ibarrola W. 10. Martinez M. 7. Manzur A. 8. Moreira E. 11. Prieto R. 29. Barrientos N. 9. Gonzalez W.	1. Ortiz G. (G) 2. Gimenez G. 4. Delvalle R. 5. Garcia R. (C) 14. Diaz F. 22. Gonzalez M. 7. Valdez D. 18. Orue D. 11. Ortiz L. 29. Cabrera L. 25. Diaz F.
Substitutes
34. Adorno M. 2. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 26. Candia Britez A. F. 16. Cespedes V. 5. Lopez M. 33. Maciel A. 6. Marecos G. 25. Marin A. 36. Martinez L. 35. Pereira A. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 19. Santacruz J.	8. Amarilla C. 21. Barrios V. 32. Caceres E. 40. Dietze S. 9. Fernandez D. 26. Franco W. 16. Gimenez A. 6. Jorge J. 36. Medina B. (G) 17. Ojeda J. 23. Quintana B. 19. Roa R.
Coaches
Arce F.	Torres R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Cabrera L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Moreira E. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
58', Prieto R. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
65', Valdez D. 🟨,
66', Diaz F. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
66', Ortiz L. ↓, Amarilla C. ↑,
67', Martinez M. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
67', Barrientos N. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
69', Valdez D. ↓, Jorge J. ↑,
76', Cabrera L. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
76', Gonzalez M. ↓, Barrios V. ↑,
76', Ibarrola W. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Amarilla C. ⚽, Jorge J. (A),
83', Amarilla C. 🟨,
84', Servio G. 🟨,
86', Orue D. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Gonzalez W. ⚽,
90+1', Martinez L. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2.

Guaraní is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Sol de América is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaraní could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guaraní will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 33:20 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:6 (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.11.24	General Caballero JLM - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
24.10.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.10.24	2 de Mayo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWWT
- Sol de América
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.11.24	Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion	3:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
30.10.24	Sol de América - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.10.24	Tacuary - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
20.10.24	Sol de América - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
28.08.24	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
12.04.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sol de América	1:0
24.01.24	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2
13.10.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Sol de América	4:1
07.08.22	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
01.05.22	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	2:2
13.02.22	Guaraní Asuncion - Sol de América	0:1

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