Match Info
PARAGUAY: Copa Paraguay - Quarter-finalsDate: 24 October 2024, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)
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Guaraní Asuncion |
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Sportivo Carapeguá |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guaraní Asuncion
58.7% | Draw
26.2% | Sportivo Carapeguá
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaraní Asuncion's performance.Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Carapeguá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+4.6%)Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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23.  Servio G. (C)
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17.  Alcaraz A.
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32. Cantero A.
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9. Gonzalez W.
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6. Marecos G.
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8. Moreira E.
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37. Perez D.
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11. Prieto R.
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3. Riveros P.
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27. Roman Torales F. J.
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14. Vargas G.
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| Substitutes |
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2. Benitez Cabrera A. J.
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20. Cuello A.
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5. Lopez M.
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10. Martinez M.
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35. Pereira A.
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12.  Rodriguez M. (G)
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19. Santacruz J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Marecos G. 🟨,
- 42', Parris M. 🟥,
- 43', Leguizamon O. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Gonzalez W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Marecos G. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 46', Riveros P. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
- 66', Gonzalez W. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 67', Aquino M. ↓, Ramos I. ↑,
- 74', Cantero A. ↓, Ibarrola W. ↑,
- 80', Ramos E. ↓, Torales J. ↑,
- 80', Caceres J. ↓, Montiel A. ↑,
- 84', Sanabria S. 🟨,
- 85', Prieto R. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+3', Arce A. 🟥,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2. Guaraní is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Carapeguá in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5). Guaraní could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Guaraní is a favorite. Our prediction for today's Guaraní to win the game is with odds 1.73.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1:0.7). Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 0.8:0.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Paraguayan Primera Division | | | 12.11.13 | Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá | 0:0 | | 01.09.13 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaraní Asuncion | 2:2 | | 23.06.13 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaraní Asuncion | 1:1 | | 19.04.13 | Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá | 2:1 | | 09.12.12 | Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá | 2:1 | | 30.09.12 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaraní Asuncion | 1:2 | | 04.07.12 | Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaraní Asuncion | N/A |
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