The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sol de América 31.2%
Draw 30.8%
Nacional Asuncion 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
29.9%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
31.6%
41.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sol de América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
18.2%
72.7%
Sol de América - Nacional Asuncion Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sol de América will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ortiz G. (G) 2. Gimenez G. 4. Delvalle R. 5. Garcia R. (C) 14. Diaz F. 22. Gonzalez M. 7. Valdez D. 18. Orue D. 11. Ortiz L. 29. Cabrera L. 25. Diaz F.
30. Rojas S. (G) 4. Alfaro J. L. 14. Nunez C. (C) 23. Monteagudo J. C. 25. Rivas L. 11. Caballero G. 16. Jara F. 6. Alfaro J. 13. Meza L. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 7. Duarte D.
Substitutes
8. Amarilla C. 21. Barrios V. 32. Caceres E. 40. Dietze S. 9. Fernandez D. 26. Franco W. 16. Gimenez A. 6. Jorge J. 36. Medina B. (G) 17. Ojeda J. 23. Quintana B. 19. Roa R.
9. Bailone I. 5. Benitez G. 10. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 3. Canete Torres A. D. 21. Franco F. 1. Galarza L. (G) 20. Gomez A. 28. Martinez A. 32. Morel F. 18. Quintana S. 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 29. Vargas S.
Coaches
Torres R.
Bernay V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Cabrera L. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Gaona Lugo O. ⚽,
27', Caballero G. 🟨,
38', Alfaro J. 🟨,
43', Garcia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Orue D. ⚽, Diaz F. (A),
57', Meza L. ↓, Quintana S. ↑,
58', Alfaro J. L. ↓, Franco F. ↑,
64', Gonzalez M. ↓, Barrios V. ↑,
66', Alfaro J. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
70', Meza L. 🟨,
72', Diaz F. 🟨,
72', Diaz F. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
74', Monteagudo J. C. ↓, Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↑,
74', Rivas L. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Cabrera L. ⚽, Fernandez D. (A),
84', Cabrera L. ↓, Amarilla C. ↑,
84', Ortiz L. ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
85', Diaz F. ↓, Ojeda J. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Gaona Lugo O. ⚽, Bailone I. (A),
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 1.
Recent matches Sol de América is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Sol de América won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.5:1.4).
Paraguay
World
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Ortiz G. (G) 
Cabrera L. 
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