Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Guaraní Asuncion		Sportivo Trinidense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.31	3.2	3.42
	2.23	3.11	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25
	2.14	3.15	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	3.09 ↓ (3.39)	3.34 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
42.2%

Draw
30%

Sportivo Trinidense
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions

Users Predictions: Guaraní Asuncion will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Servio G. (C) 37. Perez D. 2. Segovia I. 15. Servin T. 3. Barbotte A. 5. Tanda P. 36. Martinez L. 26. Fernandez D. 29. Llano J. 11. Jhon Sanchez 40. Fernandez F.	1. Dufour M. (G) 23. Benitez C. 40. Da Silveira A. 30. Valdez B. 14. Mendoza S. 5. Gauto N. 29. Rayer T. 21. Viera G. 37. Gonzalez L. 31. Morinigo A. 7. Camacho N. (C)
Substitutes
31. Arzamendia M. (G) 38. Coronel P. 33. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 27. Gomez M. 7. Manzur A. 16. Paredes L. 9. Ramirez I. 19. Ramirez Perdesen C. G. 14. Ramos M. 28. Romero N. 17. Torales R. 24. Velazquez J.	11. Baez Mendoza R. 6. Canete A. 19. Cano Esteche A. B. 9. Gimenez O. 20. Gonzalez C. 10. Mana N. 4. Melgarejo D. 34. Roman Torales F. J. 18. Romero F. 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 12. Samudio V. (G) 3. Villalba D.
Coaches
Romagnoli L.	Arrua J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Gauto N. 🟨,
40', Perez D. 🟨,
45', Camacho N. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
45+4', Da Silveira A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Da Silveira A. ↓, Canete A. ↑,
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
48', Segovia I. 🟨,
48', Martinez L. 🟨,
57', Llano J. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
65', Morinigo A. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
67', Viera G. 🟨,
68', Fernandez D. ↓, Coronel P. ↑,
68', Barbotte A. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
68', Fernandez F. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
69', Rayer T. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
79', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Romero N. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Guaraní is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sportivo Trinidense	13	7	2	4	23:13	10	23
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTL
- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
29.01.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
26.09.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1
20.07.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0
01.06.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1
27.03.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3
27.09.24	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0
26.07.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2

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