The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guaraní Asuncion 32.9%
Draw 28.1%
Vitória Salvador 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
29%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
21.1%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória Salvador's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+22.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.5%
16.1%
77.4%
Guaraní Asuncion - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Vitória will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 62.7% – 92.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).
Guaraní has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Vitória is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Guaraní could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Watch
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