The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gubbio 26.1%
Draw 29.3%
FeralpiSalò 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
29.3%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
22.4%
56%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FeralpiSalò could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gubbio - FeralpiSalò Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).
Recent matches Gubbio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
FeralpiSalò is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Gubbio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
FeralpiSalò will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.