Match Info

Date: 15 November 2020, Sunday


	Gubbio		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.7	2.7
	2.65	2.65	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.6	2.8
	2.85	2.48	2.75
	2.99	2.56	2.89
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.9	2.63	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.51)	2.63 ↓ (2.89)	2.79 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
32.5%

Draw
34.7%

Virtus Verona
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

31.1%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

22.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gubbio - Virtus Verona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Gubbio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Virtus Verona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gubbio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Ravenna - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
01.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Gubbio - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
21.10.20	Fermana - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Gubbio - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTLL
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Virtus Verona - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
08.11.20	Padova - Virtus Verona	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Virtus Verona - Matelica	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Triestina - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Ravenna - Virtus Verona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.01.20	Virtus Verona - Gubbio	0:1
01.09.19	Gubbio - Virtus Verona	2:2
05.05.19	Gubbio - Virtus Verona	1:0
26.12.18	Virtus Verona - Gubbio	3:1

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