Match Info

Date: 25 November 2020, Wednesday


	Gubbio		Triestina

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.15
	3.4	2.65	2.3	Watch
	3.2	2.75	2.3
	3.3	2.8	2.21
	3.43	3.04	2.36
	3.5	3	2.2
	3.22	3.2	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.98)	2.92 ↓ (2.97)	2.24 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
27.5%

Draw
31.5%

Triestina
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gubbio - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Gubbio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Triestina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
21.11.20	Perugia - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
15.11.20	Gubbio - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
11.11.20	Ravenna - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
01.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Gubbio - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.20	Triestina - Fermana	3:1 ✺
15.11.20	FeralpiSalò - Triestina	2:1 ✺
11.11.20	Triestina - Imolese	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Arezzo - Triestina	2:2 ✺
25.10.20	Triestina - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.01.20	Gubbio - Triestina	2:0
25.08.19	Triestina - Gubbio	2:1
07.04.19	Gubbio - Triestina	2:2
08.12.18	Triestina - Gubbio	2:2
15.04.18	Gubbio - Triestina	1:1
26.11.17	Triestina - Gubbio	3:1

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