Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Carrarese		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.2	4	Watch
	2	2.99	3.59
	2.07	2.96	4.24
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.87	3.13	4.17
	1.96	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.68)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)	3.92 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
46.9%

Draw
29.8%

Gubbio
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

27.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	57.1%	42.9%

Carrarese - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 21. Coppolaro M. 3. Imperiale M. 72. Zanon S. 5. Della L. S. (C) 18. Schiavi N. 11. Cicconi M. 10. Panico G. 82. Capezzi L. 32. Finotto M.	77. Greco S. (G) 21. Corsinelli F. 4. Tozzuolo A. 15. Signorini A. (C) 3. Mercadante M. 5. Mercati A. 6. Casolari F. 99. Bumbu J. 7. Di Massimo A. 28. Spina M. 11. Udoh P.
Substitutes
39. Belloni N. 66. Boli J. 28. Capello A. 6. Cerretelli F. 15. Di Gennaro M. 99. Giannetti N. 29. Maccherini Tonini E. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 12. Tampucci T. (G) 17. Zuelli E.	20. Brambilla A. 16. Calabrese B. 18. Chierico L. 10. Desogus J. 23. Dimarco C. 25. Guerrini V. 19. Morelli G. 31. Pirrello R. 8. Rosaia G. 22. Vettorel T. (G)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 2.

Carrarese is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gubbio is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
10.02.24	Virtus Entella - Carrarese	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Carrarese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Carrarese - Sassari Torres	5:1 ✺
21.01.24	Vis Pesaro - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Carrarese - Arezzo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTL
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
09.02.24	Gubbio - Pescara	4:0 ✺
02.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	Gubbio - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Fermana - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Gubbio - Ancona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.10.23	Gubbio - Carrarese	2:0
31.01.23	Gubbio - Carrarese	1:2
02.10.22	Carrarese - Gubbio	0:2
27.02.22	Carrarese - Gubbio	1:0
19.10.21	Gubbio - Carrarese	4:0
28.02.15	Gubbio - Carrarese	1:2
11.10.14	Carrarese - Gubbio	1:1

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