Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 14

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)


	Gubbio		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.95
	1.86	3.19	4.59
	2.10	3.23	3.43	Watch
	1.88	3.05	4.15	Watch
	2	3.14	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)	3.98 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
47.3%

Draw
29.5%

Juventus U23
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

24.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gubbio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gubbio - Juventus U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gubbio (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 5. Di Bitonto A. 15. Signorini A. 4. Baroncelli L. 27. Podda L. 82. Djankpata H. 8. Rosaia G. 21. Carraro F. 34. Zallu F. 10. Di Massimo A. 9. Tommasini C.	1. Scaglia S. (G) 3. Gil J. 4. Pedro Felipe 32. Turicchia R. 33. Perotti C. 16. Faticanti G. 6. Ngana V. 26. Pagnucco F. 90. Okoro A. 17. Guerra S. 9. Deme S.
Substitutes
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 36. Barizza M. 23. Bruscagin M. 78. Conti V. 40. Costa G. 73. Ghirardello T. 44. Hraiech S. 19. La Mantia A. 29. Murru N. 80. Niang O. 56. Tomasella M. (G)	11. Amaradio L. 10. Anghele L. 13. Bassino A. 18. Brugarello M. 28. Bruno L. (G) 21. Crapisto F. 40. Cudrig N. 22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 31. Martinez B. 30. Mazur P. 8. Owusu A. 20. Pugno D. 15. Savio F. 19. Vacca A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Djankpata H. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
42', Guerra S. 🟨,
45+1', Perotti C. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Tommasini C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Deme S. ↓, Amaradio L. ↑,
46', Perotti C. ↓, Anghele L. ↑,
46', Okoro A. ↓, Vacca A. ↑,
58', Signorini A. ↓, Bruscagin M. ↑,
58', Zallu F. ↓, Murru N. ↑,
62', Ngana V. ↓, Mazur P. ↑,
67', Amaradio L. ↓, Cudrig N. ↑,
77', Di Massimo A. ↓, Ghirardello T. ↑,
81', Pedro Felipe 🟥,
90+1', 1 - 1, Faticanti G. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).

Recent performances by Gubbio have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventus U23 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gubbio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gubbio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gubbio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.25	Ravenna - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gubbio - Ternana	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Carpi - Gubbio	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Gubbio - Guidonia Montecelio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTWL
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Ternana - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Juventus U23 - Forlì	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Renate - Juventus U23	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Juventus U23 - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.03.24	Juventus U23 - Gubbio	2:2
25.10.23	Gubbio - Juventus U23	1:1

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