Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 19

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Gubbio		SPAL

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.85	3
	2.33	3	3.15
	2.38	2.95	3.29
	2.39	2.93	3.28	Watch
	2.25	3	3
	2.24	3.02	3.11	Watch
	2.33	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)	2.96 ↓ (3.02)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
39.8%

Draw
31%

SPAL
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

30.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Gubbio - SPAL Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 5. D'Avino L. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Stramaccioni D. 21. Corsinelli F. 78. Iaccarino G. 8. Rosaia G. 24. Zallu F. 28. Maisto F. 7. D'Ursi E. 9. Tommasini C.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. 26. Bassoli A. 23. Arena M. 28. Calapai L. 20. Zammarini R. 80. Buchel M. 33. D'Orazio L. 19. Mignanelli D. 11. Rao E. 7. Antenucci M.
Substitutes
1. Bolletta L. (G) 34. Conti V. 25. David A. 12. Di Vincenzo A. (G) 30. Fossati D. 39. Mancini R. 31. Pirrello R. 15. Signorini A. 4. Tozzuolo A.	93. Angeletti T. 27. Boccia A. 91. Conte O. 90. Kane L. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 18. Ntenda J. 13. Polito V. 10. Radrezza I. 94. Roda A. 95. Tarolli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Zallu F. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Arena M. ⚽,
35', Rao E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arena M. ↓, Polito V. ↑,
57', Zallu F. ↓, David A. ↑,
64', Corsinelli F. 🟨,
66', Stramaccioni D. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
69', Buchel M. ↓, Tarolli S. ↑,
79', Maisto F. ↓, Signorini A. ↑,
79', D'Orazio L. ↓, Radrezza I. ↑,
80', Rao E. ↓, Conte O. ↑,
86', 🟨,
89', Conte O. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Tommasini C. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Gubbio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gubbio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gubbio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
08.12.24	Milan Futuro - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Gubbio - Pescara	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Gubbio - Carpi	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.24	SPAL - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
02.12.24	Pontedera - SPAL	5:1 ✺
23.11.24	SPAL - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Legnago Salus - SPAL	0:3 ✺
10.11.24	SPAL - Pineto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.04.24	SPAL - Gubbio	3:0
02.12.23	Gubbio - SPAL	0:0
01.02.15	SPAL - Gubbio	1:0
17.09.14	Gubbio - SPAL	1:1

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