Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Sirens		Gudja United

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.6
	2.01	3.17	3.63	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.98	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	3.71 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirens
46.7%

Draw
28.7%

Gudja United
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Sirens - Gudja United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Spiteri M. J. (G) 16. Attard J. 17. Borg J. (C) 2. Camilleri G. 5. Carlos Chaba 6. Elfarsi S. 18. Fenech M. 10. Gilberto 4. Mercieca R. 9. Nonato T. 7. Zammit T.	26. Pisani J. (G) 5. Bartolo T. 19. Conti M. 9. Diego 39. Farrugia G. 30. Micallef E. 22. Mifsud D. (C) 13. Mizzi A. 17. Tasic V. 18. Wesley Dias 7. Willian
Substitutes
14. Agius M. 15. Borg K. 12. Cassar A. (G) 3. Degabriele H. 13. Grima M. (G) 20. Markulev M. 21. Matthews C. W. 19. Messina A. 11. Muscat K.	10. Cremona L. 92. Fenech R. 4. Gauci N. 14. Grech J. 77. Shola H. S. 90. Zammit G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Nonato T. ⚽,
35', Elfarsi S. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Willian ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Camilleri G. ↓, Agius M. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Mifsud D. ⚽,
56', Tasic V. 🟨,
57', Micallef E. ↓, Gauci N. ↑,
58', Gauci N. 🟨,
67', Agius M. 🟨,
69', Conti M. ↓, Cremona L. ↑,
83', Wesley Dias 🟨,
85', Willian ↓, Shola H. S. ↑,
89', Carlos Chaba 🟥,
90', 1 - 3, Diego (Pen),
90+6', 2 - 3, Fenech M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sirens won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Gudja United have a series of home games.

Sirens will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sirens won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:6 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sirens won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sirens FC
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.25	St. Andrews - Sirens	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Sirens - Mtarfa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Sirens	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Sirens - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWWL
- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.25	Gudja United - Lija Athletic	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Senglea Athletic - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Gudja United - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
21.09.24	Gudja United - Sirens	1:2
Maltese Premier League
16.12.23	Gudja United - Sirens	1:2
Club Friendly
14.08.23	Sirens - Gudja United	2:1
Maltese Premier League
01.04.23	Gudja United - Sirens	0:1
Maltese FA Trophy
15.02.23	Gudja United - Sirens	1:0
Maltese Premier League
05.11.22	Sirens - Gudja United	2:0
13.12.21	Sirens - Gudja United	0:0

Sirens - Gudja United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide