Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)


	Gudja United		Mosta

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.25	1.75
	4	3.4	1.8	Watch
	3.97	3.25	1.73
	4.6	3.28	1.8
	4.2	3.5	1.67
	4.4	3.4	1.74
	4.3	3.35	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.8)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
21.4%

Draw
27%

Mosta
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

25.4%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

23.6%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Spiteri J. (G) 30. Akomeah S. 7. Attard S. 5. Brenner 88. Esposito M. 77. Friggieri A. 92. Godwin J. 11. Muchardi M. (C) 28. Nanitelamio R. 27. Nwafor S. 23. Tabone N.	22. Udoh A. (G) 8. Aneni E. 77. Brincat Z. (C) 20. Britto W. 4. Chara G. 14. Cipriott S. 19. Dao B. A. 18. Hovhannisyan A. 10. Linus T. 11. Nnaji C. 74. Vassallo J.
Substitutes
21. Attard J. 19. Conti M. 14. Cutajar R. 12. Gatt L. 8. Gentile E. 39. Grech Z. 10. Lorenzoni G. 26. Pisani J. (G) 9. Salis I. 24. Serrano W. 99. Zammit G.	21. Agius 15. Attard E. 5. Cachia S. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 33. Farrugia B. 30. Farrugia J. 9. Nwoga C. 27. Scerri J. 16. Sciberras G. 3. Thomas S. 92. Tulimieri K.
Coaches
Cumbo R.	Grech J.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 4.

Gudja United is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mosta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mosta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mosta is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gudja United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Premier League
20.01.24	Gudja United - Valletta	0:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
14.01.24	Xewkija Tigers - Gudja United	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
07.01.24	Sliema Wanderers - Gudja United	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Gudja United - Sirens	1:2 ✺
13.12.23	Gudja United - Birkirkara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLLT
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
20.01.24	Naxxar Lions - Mosta	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Mosta - Pietà Hotspurs	5:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
07.01.24	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Mosta - Floriana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
17.09.23	Mosta - Gudja United	0:0
16.12.22	Gudja United - Mosta	2:1
20.08.22	Mosta - Gudja United	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Mosta - Gudja United	2:4
Maltese Premier League
12.03.22	Gudja United - Mosta	1:0
04.12.21	Mosta - Gudja United	0:3
17.02.21	Gudja United - Mosta	0:1

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