Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Mosta		Floriana

	1	X	2
	7.9	4.55	1.31
	8.8	4.92	1.32
	1.00	1.00	1.06	Watch
	7.8	4.45	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.38 ↑ (5.77)	3.73 ↓ (4.43)	1.26 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
12.9%

Draw
22%

Floriana
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

20.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

19.8%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Mosta - Floriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 21. Agius (C) 2. Agius A. 3. Bolanos M. 9. Daniel GTA 8. Eke C. 26. Emmanuel P. 10. Giancarlo 96. Leo Fernandes 30. Okereke C. 74. Vassallo J.	23. Cioletti G. (G) 94. Areias R. 22. Chico Teixeira 25. Gamarra G. 8. Grech J. 34. Mendonca I. 24. M'Mombwa C. 11. Scerri Z. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C)
Substitutes
31. Almamy S. K. 77. Brincat Z. 20. Caruana R. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 4. Farrugia K. 23. Hurtado Q. 14. Joao Victor 13. Luke U. 7. Scerri J. 16. Sciberras G.	18. Cassar N. 37. Cutajar R. (G) 7. De Flavia A. 13. Farrugia D. 77. Garzia A. 19. Jah M. 2. Lopez L. 15. Mabea K. 1. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G.
Coaches
Grech J.	Portela D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Grech J. ⚽,
41', Leo Fernandes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leo Fernandes ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
46', Daniel GTA ↓, Hurtado Q. ↑,
46', Agius A. ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
58', Chico Teixeira ↓, Jah M. ↑,
59', Gamarra G. ↓, Mabea K. ↑,
71', Areias R. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
73', Bolanos M. 🟨,
75', Grech J. (Pen),
78', Agius ↓, Almamy S. K. ↑,
78', Giancarlo ↓, Sciberras G. ↑,
88', Vella D. ↓, Piscopo E. ↑,
89', Eke C. 🟨,
90+3', Sciberras G. 🟨,
90+3', M'Mombwa C. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 0.

Mosta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Floriana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mosta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Floriana is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
24.09.25	Valletta - Mosta	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Birkirkara - Mosta	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Mosta	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sliema Wanderers - Mosta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTLW
- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
24.09.25	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Floriana	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Floriana - Valletta	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Floriana - Gżira United	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Floriana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
27.04.25	Floriana - Mosta	3:0
Maltese FA Trophy
05.03.25	Floriana - Mosta	2:0
Maltese Premier League
02.03.25	Floriana - Mosta	2:2
23.11.24	Floriana - Mosta	1:0
Club Friendly
11.10.24	Mosta - Floriana	1:2
Maltese Premier League
03.10.24	Mosta - Floriana	0:2
13.04.24	Floriana - Mosta	4:0

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