Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)


	Gudja United		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.2	1.38
	7	4.33	1.38	Watch
	8	4.2	1.33
	7.21	4.1	1.4
	7.2	4.2	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.23 ↓ (7.35)	4.21 ↑ (4.19)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
12.5%

Draw
21.5%

Paola Hibernians
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

21.7%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

13.8%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Paola Hibernians have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gudja United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Pisani J. (G) 7. Attard S. 5. Brenner 88. Esposito M. 77. Friggieri A. 12. Gatt L. 92. Godwin J. 39. Grech Z. 11. Muchardi M. (C) 28. Nanitelamio R. 99. Zammit G.	24. Kone I. (G) 21. Alex Bruno 3. Apap F. 25. Bagayoko M. 29. Bastianos G. 6. Caruana L. 10. Degabriele J. (C) 22. Izquier G. 16. Okoh S. 5. Shaw K. 9. Zuzul S.
Substitutes
19. Conti M. 4. Cutajar J. 1. Lehtinen F. (G) 27. Nwafor S. 17. Quintero J. 9. Salis I. 24. Serrano W. 90. Spiteri J. (G) 23. Tabone N.	77. Antwi R. 8. Bairam B. 14. Bugeja M. 4. Caruana D. 17. Chukunyere I. 1. Debono J. (G) 13. Grech Z. 11. Kristensen B. 20. Radchenko A. 30. Sacco H. (G) 15. Vella O.
Coaches
Cumbo R.	Nisevic B.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 0.

Gudja United has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hibernians is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hibernians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hibernians is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Gudja United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Premier League
03.03.24	Floriana - Gudja United	5:1 ✺
25.02.24	Gudja United - Santa Lucia	0:4 ✺
18.02.24	Gżira United - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Gudja United - Hamrun Spartans	0:4 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
08.02.24	Hamrun Spartans - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
02.03.24	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Balzan - Paola Hibernians	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Paola Hibernians - Floriana	0:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
05.11.23	Paola Hibernians - Gudja United	1:0
05.03.23	Gudja United - Paola Hibernians	1:4
22.10.22	Paola Hibernians - Gudja United	2:1
24.04.22	Gudja United - Paola Hibernians	0:2
19.12.21	Gudja United - Paola Hibernians	1:2
22.08.21	Paola Hibernians - Gudja United	2:1
27.01.21	Gudja United - Paola Hibernians	1:4

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