Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)


	Gudja United		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.78
	4.2	3.25	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	4.41	3.32	1.76
	4.3	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.79)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
21.1%

Draw
28.3%

Santa Lucia
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

28.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

26.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Lucia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Pisani J. (G) 30. Akomeah S. 88. Esposito M. 77. Friggieri A. 12. Gatt L. 39. Grech Z. 22. Mendes R. 11. Muchardi M. (C) 28. Nanitelamio R. 17. Quintero J. 99. Zammit G.	12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 80. Gomes E. 6. Letherby D. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 27. Piazza A. 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 55. Xerri S.
Substitutes
21. Attard J. 7. Attard S. 5. Brenner 19. Conti M. 4. Cutajar J. 92. Godwin J. 10. Lorenzoni G. 27. Nwafor S. 90. Spiteri J. (G)	5. Bonello N. 16. Formosa C. (G) 11. Lucas Sena 10. Nagamatsu T. 4. Ogouvide A. 8. Ojo T. 33. Patrick 29. Valletta J. 1. Vella D. (G) 20. Virano G. 14. Xuereb D.
Coaches
Cumbo R.	Zinnari A.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 3.

Gudja United has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Lucia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Lucia is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gudja United won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gudja United won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Premier League
18.02.24	Gżira United - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Gudja United - Hamrun Spartans	0:4 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
08.02.24	Hamrun Spartans - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
03.02.24	Marsaxlokk - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Gudja United - Mosta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
17.02.24	Santa Lucia - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Balzan - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	3:4 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
04.02.24	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Floriana - Santa Lucia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
21.10.23	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	0:0
04.02.23	Gudja United - Santa Lucia	3:0
01.10.22	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	1:3
19.01.22	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	0:3
12.09.21	Gudja United - Santa Lucia	2:2
20.12.20	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	3:2
01.02.20	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	2:1

Gudja United - Santa Lucia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide