Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Guidonia Montecelio		Rimini

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.76	3.38	4.15
	1.72	3.94	4.16	Watch
	1.84	3.22	4.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.12)	3.51 ↑ (2.92)	4.13 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
51.7%

Draw
26.1%

Rimini
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

31.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

31.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guidonia Montecelio's performance.

Rimini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guidonia Montecelio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Guidonia Montecelio - Rimini Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Guidonia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guidonia Montecelio will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mazzi G. (G) 2. Esempio S. 5. Cristini A. 6. Malomo A. 77. Zappella D. 33. Tascone S. 99. Tessiore A. 14. Santoro S. 8. Errico A. 10. Spavone A. 90. Bernardotto G.	1. Vitali L. (G) 98. Lepri T. 4. Bellodi G. (C) 30. De Vitis A. 21. Ferrarini G. 66. Boli J. 41. Asmussen A. 8. Piccoli M. 28. Longobardi G. 10. D’Agostini L. 7. Capac A.
Substitutes
9. Cali A. 18. Calzone S. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 11. Marchioro R. 22. Mastrangelo E. (G) 21. Mastrantonio V. 13. Mule E. 50. Ruggiero 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 17. Stefanelli F. 32. Zuppel D.	20. Fabbri A. 54. Falasco N. 89. Gagliano M. (G) 80. Leoncini M. 24. Mini M. 2. Moray J. 6. Petta A. 22. Pirini M. (G) 70. Rubino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Santoro S. 🟨,
45+4', Tascone S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Tessiore A. ↓, Mastrantonio V. ↑,
57', Tascone S. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
57', Spavone A. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
60', Boli J. ↓, Moray J. ↑,
60', Ferrarini G. ↓, Falasco N. ↑,
60', De Vitis A. ↓, Leoncini M. ↑,
63', Leoncini M. 🟨,
67', Bernardotto G. ↓, Cali A. ↑,
72', Santoro S. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,
72', Asmussen A. ↓, Mini M. ↑,
82', Capac A. ↓, Rubino M. ↑,
89', Cali A. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Cali A. (Pen),
90+6', Moray J. 🟨,
90+7', Piccoli M. 🟨,
90+8', Zuppel D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Guidonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rimini is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guidonia might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.25	Arezzo - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Ravenna	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
01.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pineto	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Perugia - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WLWLT
- Rimini FC
Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.25	Rimini - Forlì	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Pontedera - Rimini	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Rimini - Ternana	1:4 ✺
29.08.25	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Rimini - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLLTL

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